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2016-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 65.9% 34.1% -
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% -
Margin 68.2% 31.8% -4.2 (22.2 off)
Pythagorean 68.3% 31.7% -
Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.2% 16.8% -
Log Adjusted 83.5% 16.5% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +18 (85-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ulis * 40 7-16 2-6 7-8 1 6 0 0 2 23 12 -
J. Murray * 36 9-17 2-5 1-1 2 1 1 0 2 21 6 -
I. Briscoe * 30 2-6 0-2 1-7 6 0 1 1 3 5 4 -
A. Poythress * 26 2-3 0-1 0-3 4 0 0 0 3 4 2 -
M. Lee * 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Willis 19 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
S. Labissiere 16 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
M. Mulder 14 1-4 1-2 2-2 8 0 0 0 0 5 9 -
I. Humphries 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.1
C. Matthews 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Victor II * 36 3-11 0-1 9-14 12 1 1 1 1 15 18 +19.8
T. Quarterman * 31 9-15 2-4 1-2 10 7 0 1 0 21 24 +15.6
K. Hornsby * 28 3-6 2-3 1-2 4 2 2 1 2 9 10 +19.0
B. Simmons * 27 5-5 0-0 4-6 10 3 2 1 2 14 23 -
A. Blakeney * 23 3-9 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 -3 +15.6
J. Patterson 23 2-5 0-1 2-4 3 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
A. Epps 9 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 6 +3.8
J. Gray 9 1-4 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 2 4 1 +3.9
B. Sampson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Robinson III 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Malone 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Bridgewater 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter