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2016-01-02

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% +7.4 โœ— (15.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% - โœ—
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 โœ— (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 11.8% 88.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 11.4% 88.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 27.1% 72.9% - โœ—

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -8 (82-90). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Hornsby * 37 8-13 4-7 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 23 12 -
Ben Simmons * 34 10-15 0-1 16-19 14 4 1 1 2 36 39 -
Tim Quarterman * 30 1-5 0-2 3-4 5 3 2 0 1 5 9 -
Antonio Blakeney * 30 2-7 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
Craig Victor * 22 5-11 0-0 1-2 6 2 3 1 1 11 11 -
Josh Gray 14 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 4 7 6 -
Darcy Malone 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Brandon Sampson 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Elbert Robinson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
Aaron Epps 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Baldwin IV * 34 3-7 2-4 9-10 6 7 3 0 1 17 25 -
Riley LaChance * 33 4-12 1-4 3-4 2 2 3 0 3 12 4 -
Damian Jones * 32 4-6 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 2 4 12 9 -
Matthew Fisher-Davis * 25 3-6 3-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 11 7 -
Jeff Roberson * 21 4-5 1-1 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 13 7 -
Camron Justice 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
Nolan Cressler 16 4-10 1-3 0-1 4 1 0 0 1 9 3 -
Josh Henderson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 0 -4 -
Joe Toye 5 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Samir Sehic 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter