Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | -12.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.4% | 6.6% | -14.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -22 (59-81). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Rahon * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Emmett Naar * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Evan Fitzner * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Calvin Hermanson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Dane Pineau * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 27 | - |
| Jock Landale | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Stefan Gonzalez | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Clark | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jack Biebel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Franklin Porter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Hunter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Brownridge * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Nate Kratch * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| KJ Feagin * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Kai Healy * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Hubbard * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Matt Hauser | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jarvis Pugh | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Emmanuel Ndumanya | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Henrik Jadersten | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter