Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -11 (76-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Watson * | 36 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tim Derksen * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Dont'e Reynolds * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Ronnie Boyce * | 27 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Chase Foster | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Matthew McCarthy | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mladen Djordjevic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Pressley * | 36 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Wintering * | 35 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 8-10 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| D. Tyson * | 29 | 9-20 | 8-17 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | - |
| P. Hartwich * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| G. Taylor * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Todd | 23 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Johnson | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| C. Russell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Marshall | 7 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Livingston | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter