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2016-01-07

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons San Diego Toreros Spread Result
Elo 58.3% 41.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Margin 57.3% 42.7% -1.6 โœ“ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 68.9% 31.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.6% 23.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.4% 46.6% - โœ“

Actual: San Diego Toreros -8 (65-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Derksen * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 1 2 12 23 -
Devin Watson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 5 16 18 -
Dont'e Reynolds * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 4 8 -
Chase Foster * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Ronnie Boyce 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 1 1 22 33 -
Matthew McCarthy 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Nate Renfro 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Sean Grennan 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vasa Pusica * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 19 21 -
Jito Kok * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 4 1 15 24 -
Brett Bailey * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 9 16 -
Marcus Harris * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 9 17 -
Olin Carter * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
Tyler Williams 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 7 10 -
Christian Oshita 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
Alex Floresca 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 5 -
Cameron Neubauer 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Khalil Bedart-Ghani 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter