Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -1 (68-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Chatman | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +10.8 |
| Chase Fischer * | 40 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +11.8 |
| Kyle Davis * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth * | 29 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Nate Austin * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +7.5 |
| Nick Emery * | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Corbin Kaufusi | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Zac Seljaas | 14 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +3.4 |
| Jamal Aytes | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Braiden Shaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Perkins * | 39 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | -7.0 |
| Kyle Wiltjer * | 38 | 11-23 | 4-8 | 9-12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 20 | -8.9 |
| Eric McClellan * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Bryan Alberts * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kyle Dranginis | 29 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Ryan Edwards | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -10.5 |
| Silas Melson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter