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BYU Cougars 69
@
Gonzaga Bulldogs 68
2016-01-14

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 36.5% 63.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% - ✗
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 ✗ (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% - ✓

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -1 (68-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Chatman 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 +10.8
C. Fischer * 40 6-13 1-4 5-5 1 4 1 0 1 18 10 +11.8
K. Davis * 34 5-12 0-1 2-2 11 2 2 4 2 12 17 -
K. Collinsworth * 29 9-18 1-2 1-1 5 3 1 0 2 20 9 -
N. Austin * 19 2-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 2 0 4 8 +7.5
N. Emery * 18 1-6 1-5 0-1 2 2 1 0 1 3 1 -
C. Kaufusi 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
Z. Seljaas 14 1-6 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 -2 +3.4
J. Aytes 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
B. Shaw 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Perkins * 39 2-8 1-3 6-6 6 7 3 0 2 11 17 -7.0
K. Wiltjer * 38 11-23 4-8 9-12 10 0 1 0 3 35 20 -8.9
E. McClellan * 31 3-12 0-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 8 -2 -
D. Sabonis * 21 2-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
B. Alberts * 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Dranginis 29 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 3 -2.1
R. Edwards 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 2 0 6 9 -10.5
S. Melson 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter