Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (29.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +35 (116-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Curry * | 40 | 3-18 | 3-12 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Ben McLemore * | 39 | 10-20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 11 | - |
| James Anderson * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Quincy Acy * | 29 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Duje Dukan * | 24 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Eric Moreland | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Beverley * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 23 | - |
| James Harden * | 30 | 13-27 | 5-10 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 18 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 25 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Clint Capela * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 21 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 14 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| KJ McDaniels * | 12 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Andrew Goudelock | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Montrezl Harrell | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter