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2016-04-08

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 68.8% 31.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 75.9% 24.1% - โœ“
Margin 68.2% 31.8% -4.2 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 60.7% 39.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -7 (102-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sasha Vujacic * 31 6-7 2-3 2-2 5 4 2 0 0 16 20 -
Jerian Grant * 30 6-11 0-2 4-7 5 6 1 0 3 16 14 -
Robin Lopez * 28 9-17 0-0 6-12 15 1 0 3 2 24 24 -
Carmelo Anthony * 25 8-18 1-6 3-4 3 1 0 2 1 20 7 -
Derrick Williams * 25 5-10 0-1 1-1 9 1 1 0 1 11 11 -
Arron Afflalo 31 4-10 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 9 5 -
Langston Galloway 30 1-8 0-1 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 2 2 -
Kyle O'Quinn 19 4-8 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 2 1 10 12 -
Cleanthony Early 16 0-2 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 1 0 1 6 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ish Smith * 38 5-12 3-4 7-8 7 7 1 1 2 20 22 -
Nik Stauskas * 37 4-13 3-8 6-6 7 5 0 0 0 17 16 -
Robert Covington * 34 10-21 7-13 3-5 11 2 1 0 1 30 22 -
Nerlens Noel * 33 5-13 0-0 7-10 10 1 2 2 0 17 19 -
Jerami Grant * 32 4-10 1-4 1-7 5 4 0 1 2 10 8 -
Hollis Thompson 27 1-11 0-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 -6 -
T.J. McConnell 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 2 -1 -
Elton Brand 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 2 5 -
Kendall Marshall 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter