Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.0% | 69.0% | +4.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +6 (96-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Lin * | 40 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 35 | 4-16 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 31 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Cody Zeller * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Al Jefferson | 20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 18 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 39 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 35 | 7-19 | 1-2 | 11-12 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Norman Powell * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jason Thompson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter