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2016-04-01

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 14.4% 85.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - โœ—
Margin 12.9% 87.1% +10.5 โœ— (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 22.9% 77.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 22.8% 77.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 27.9% 72.1% - โœ—

Actual: Golden State Warriors -3 (106-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Turner * 37 8-13 1-1 4-4 5 5 3 0 5 21 16 -
Avery Bradley * 34 5-12 1-5 4-6 3 4 2 1 0 15 13 -
Isaiah Thomas * 33 9-20 1-5 3-5 0 6 1 0 3 22 6 -
Jared Sullinger * 26 7-13 2-2 4-6 12 3 1 0 1 20 22 -
Amir Johnson * 26 3-5 0-1 1-5 9 2 1 0 2 7 12 -
Marcus Smart 27 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 6 1 0 2 7 9 -
Jonas Jerebko 19 4-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
Kelly Olynyk 17 2-8 1-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 7 3 -
Terry Rozier 16 0-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 1 3 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 37 6-16 2-6 1-1 3 3 1 0 1 15 5 -
Draymond Green * 36 5-13 3-8 3-3 9 7 6 2 4 16 23 -
Stephen Curry * 36 9-19 8-14 3-3 5 6 1 0 9 29 13 -
Harrison Barnes * 34 5-11 4-9 0-0 8 4 1 0 1 14 15 -
Andrew Bogut * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 4 6 -
Shaun Livingston 19 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 1 3 8 6 -
Leandro Barbosa 17 4-5 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 10 8 -
Marreese Speights 11 2-6 1-1 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 5 5 -
Anderson Varejao 10 2-3 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
Ian Clark 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
Brandon Rush 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

* = starter