Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +29 (104-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Paul George * | 25 | 3-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| George Hill * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| CJ Miles | 23 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Solomon Hill | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Joe Young | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Glenn Robinson III | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Millsap * | 29 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Al Horford * | 24 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 24 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 18 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 18 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 16 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Mike Scott | 16 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter