Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +15 (118-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 38 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Jackson * | 31 | 7-15 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Andre Drummond * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Aron Baynes | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Reggie Bullock Jr. | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Steve Blake | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Stanley Johnson | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Darrun Hilliard | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Batum * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 34 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Kemba Walker * | 32 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 9-9 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 25 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Cody Zeller * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky | 24 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jeremy Lin | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Al Jefferson | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Harrison | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jorge Gutierrez | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter