Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +13 (116-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 41 | 10-20 | 3-8 | 11-14 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 28 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 39 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 35 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jason Terry | 17 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Clint Capela | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Ty Lawson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Smith | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Montrezl Harrell | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 35 | 9-22 | 4-11 | 9-11 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Maurice Harkless * | 27 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 24 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 27 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Mason Plumlee * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Gerald Henderson | 31 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Allen Crabbe | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 22 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Ed Davis | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tim Frazier | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter