Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +15 (112-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Matthews * | 34 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 32 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Deron Williams * | 7 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 31 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Raymond Felton | 25 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| John Jenkins | 11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Justin Anderson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Millsap * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Al Horford * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 27 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 27 | 12-15 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 29 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Mike Scott | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Shelvin Mack | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Edy Tavares | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lamar Patterson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter