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2016-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 74.2% 25.8% - ✗
Margin 77.5% 22.5% -6.8 ✗ (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 61.5% 38.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 77.5% 22.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 77.6% 22.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 64.7% 35.3% - ✗

Actual: Phoenix Suns +3 (98-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 38 4-12 0-3 1-2 16 5 1 2 2 9 19 -
Kyle Korver * 34 4-9 3-6 0-0 5 3 0 2 2 11 10 -
Kent Bazemore * 30 7-16 3-6 4-6 6 0 0 0 2 21 9 -
Jeff Teague * 24 4-13 1-6 0-0 1 3 2 1 5 9 -2 -
Tiago Splitter * 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 2 4 -
Thabo Sefolosha 27 1-9 0-3 6-6 7 1 3 0 0 8 10 -
Mike Scott 26 7-11 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 16 11 -
Dennis Schröder 23 6-10 3-6 4-4 1 5 2 1 3 19 15 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Edy Tavares 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyson Chandler * 44 3-10 0-0 7-10 27 5 1 2 2 13 36 -
Archie Goodwin * 41 7-17 2-3 8-9 1 4 2 2 4 24 12 -
P.J. Tucker * 38 6-13 3-5 1-2 6 2 1 1 2 16 11 -
Devin Booker * 35 6-19 3-9 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 15 -2 -
Alex Len * 35 6-10 0-0 4-4 12 5 0 0 3 16 20 -
T.J. Warren 16 3-8 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 2 6 0 -
Mirza Teletovic 14 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 6 5 -
Lorenzo Brown 6 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 3 1 0 0 2 3 -
Sonny Weems 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter