Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.4% | 26.6% | -5.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (106-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 10-21 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 34 | 8-19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Andre Roberson * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dion Waiters | 35 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 24 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Kyle Singler | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Payne | 13 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 36 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 36 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 29 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Devin Harris | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| JaVale McGee | 13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Raymond Felton | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter