Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -6 (98-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 36 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 33 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Kent Bazemore * | 31 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 29 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 28 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Dennis Schröder | 19 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mike Scott | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mike Muscala | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 37 | 12-23 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 9 | - |
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 8-22 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Al-Farouq Aminu * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Mason Plumlee * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Noah Vonleh * | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Allen Crabbe | 27 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ed Davis | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 18 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Gerald Henderson | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Harkless | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter