Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +6 (115-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Bradley * | 35 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 35 | 7-19 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Jae Crowder * | 31 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 31 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Evan Turner | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko | 14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 13-25 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 28 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 24 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| James Johnson * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Terrence Ross | 28 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 26 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
* = starter