Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✗ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -22 (75-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 30 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Hassan Whiteside * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 28 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 26 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Green | 28 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Johnson | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Justise Winslow | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Beno Udrih | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Richardson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Temple * | 41 | 4-16 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| John Wall * | 34 | 6-21 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Otto Porter Jr. * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ramon Sessions | 27 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jarell Eddie | 12 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter