Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.6% | 35.4% | -3.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -19 (90-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 35 | 8-13 | 3-3 | 10-11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 30 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 10-10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 30 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Andre Roberson * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Dion Waiters | 24 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Payne | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Morrow | 18 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Singler | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Nick Collison | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mitch McGary | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker * | 35 | 10-24 | 1-5 | 11-12 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 19 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 33 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Cody Zeller * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| PJ Hairston * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky | 32 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 25 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Brian Roberts | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Harrison | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter