Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +19.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +33 (112-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Knight * | 26 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| P.J. Tucker * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Devin Booker * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Jon Leuer * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Alex Len * | 11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Tyson Chandler | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| T.J. Warren | 22 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Bryce Cotton | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Markieff Morris | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Archie Goodwin | 16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Sonny Weems | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mirza Teletovic | 10 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Cory Jefferson | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard * | 29 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 22 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Danny Green * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| David West * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Boris Diaw | 19 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jonathon Simmons | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Patty Mills | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Boban Marjanovic | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Anderson | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ray McCallum | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter