Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | โ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | +0.3 | โ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | โ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +6 (114-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 42 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| James Harden * | 34 | 9-20 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Patrick Beverley * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Terrence Jones * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Donatas Motiejunas | 21 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 20 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ty Lawson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jason Terry | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 39 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 37 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Joffrey Lauvergne * | 21 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Kenneth Faried * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Will Barton | 33 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Nikola Jokiฤ | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Kostas Papanikolaou | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Randy Foye | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Mike Miller | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter