Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.0% | 24.0% | -6.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -6 (86-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 30 | 6-16 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 29 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 20 | 8-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Raymond Felton | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Devin Harris | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva | 8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Justin Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nerlens Noel * | 38 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T.J. McConnell * | 34 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Jerami Grant * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Nik Stauskas * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Hollis Thompson | 28 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Canaan | 25 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Robert Covington | 20 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| JaKarr Sampson | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter