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2015-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.4 โœ“ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +12 (106-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 36 5-18 2-6 4-4 2 4 1 0 0 16 5 -
Damian Lillard * 36 9-25 1-9 4-5 8 5 1 0 5 23 7 -
Mason Plumlee * 24 2-6 0-0 4-4 13 1 0 1 2 8 15 -
Noah Vonleh * 23 3-6 0-1 3-4 6 1 0 0 2 9 8 -
Al-Farouq Aminu * 21 2-5 1-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 7 8 -
Allen Crabbe 27 8-11 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 17 10 -
Ed Davis 22 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 1 1 6 8 -
Maurice Harkless 20 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
Cliff Alexander 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
Gerald Henderson 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
Pat Connaughton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tim Frazier 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nicolas Batum * 38 11-19 5-10 6-7 5 6 0 0 2 33 23 -
Kemba Walker * 36 5-12 2-5 2-2 4 5 2 0 2 14 11 -
Marvin Williams * 34 3-8 0-3 1-2 8 2 1 2 1 7 11 -
Al Jefferson * 30 13-17 0-0 3-4 5 3 1 1 2 29 20 -
PJ Hairston * 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Jeremy Lamb 27 6-10 1-5 0-0 5 3 0 2 1 13 12 -
Cody Zeller 21 0-4 0-2 1-2 6 2 0 2 1 1 6 -
Jeremy Lin 20 2-9 1-4 0-0 0 3 1 1 1 5 0 -
Spencer Hawes 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 4 0 1 1 2 6 -
Brian Roberts 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter