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2015-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 67.3% 32.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 59.7% 40.3% - โœ“
Margin 65.0% 35.0% -3.4 โœ“ (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.8% 43.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.8% 31.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.5% 42.5% - โœ“

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -16 (83-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 36 3-12 2-7 4-5 2 2 4 0 1 12 7 -
Isaiah Thomas * 34 6-20 1-10 7-8 2 1 1 0 3 20 1 -
Amir Johnson * 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 1 4 10 -
Jared Sullinger * 20 5-10 1-2 0-0 10 3 1 1 0 11 16 -
Avery Bradley * 18 1-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
Evan Turner 28 6-12 1-4 0-0 5 6 4 0 1 13 15 -
Kelly Olynyk 22 5-8 0-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 2 11 4 -
David Lee 21 5-7 0-0 3-4 5 3 0 2 1 13 15 -
RJ Hunter 18 3-5 1-3 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 7 9 -
Jonas Jerebko 15 2-2 1-1 1-1 1 3 0 1 1 6 8 -
Terry Rozier 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
James Young 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 37 3-12 2-6 5-5 2 2 0 1 1 13 5 -
Greg Monroe * 32 7-11 0-0 3-5 14 4 1 1 2 17 24 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 24 6-13 1-3 3-3 3 0 2 0 4 16 4 -
Jabari Parker * 23 4-6 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 0 0 8 13 -
Tyler Ennis * 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 4 2 -
Jerryd Bayless 29 3-9 2-4 4-4 2 2 3 0 2 12 8 -
Greivis Vasquez 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Johnny O'Bryant III 13 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Damien Inglis 12 1-3 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
John Henson 9 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
Rashad Vaughn 6 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Chris Copeland 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Miles Plumlee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter