Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -5 (70-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Wilfong | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 39 | 9-19 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +4.6 |
| Keith Frazier * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +7.9 |
| Markus Kennedy * | 23 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +9.3 |
| Jordan Tolbert * | 22 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +9.5 |
| Sterling Brown * | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Ben Moore | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Shake Milton | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jarrey Foster | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Trent-Street * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Vladimir Brodziansky * | 35 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 15 | -9.1 |
| Chauncey Collins * | 27 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | -9.1 |
| Brandon Parrish * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3.7 |
| Karviar Shepherd * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Michael Williams | 28 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +3.3 |
| JD Miller | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Devonta Abron | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9.5 |
| Lyrik Shreiner | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dalton Dry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter