Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Balentine * | 34 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Adam Wing * | 26 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | +5.6 |
| Jaylon Brown * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -8.6 |
| Egidijus Mockevicius * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 18 | -2.8 |
| Blake Simmons * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -9.0 |
| Mislav Brzoja | 32 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -2.5 |
| David Howard | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | +5.1 |
| Duane Gibson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +5.1 |
| Harris Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bentil * | 38 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 10-11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 13 | - |
| K. Dunn * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 13 | +6.6 |
| R. Bullock * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -3.7 |
| J. Lomomba * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -4.2 |
| R. Fazekas * | 26 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +5.5 |
| J. Lindsey | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +9.8 |
| K. Cartwright | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.9 |
| Q. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.9 |
* = starter