Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | +20.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners +12 (80-68). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Blossom * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Phillip Carr * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Rasean Simpson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 26 | - |
| Martez Cameron * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Donte Pretlow * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Antonio Gillespie | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Kyle Thomas | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Andre Horne | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Clive Vaughan | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Streeter | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jamar Redmond | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedrick Basile * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Aly Ahmed * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Kevin Mays * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Brent Wrapp * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jaylin Airington * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Damiyne Durham | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Justin Hollins | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Justin Pride | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Matt Smith | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Bray Barnes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter