Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +25 (82-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Sanchez | 40 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| H. Gilbert | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Balbierz | 31 | 5-17 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | - |
| L. Leaupepe | 29 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 0 | - |
| A. Lovely | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Leaupepe | 14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Lipton | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Nunnelley | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Stahley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Fausey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Grupalo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Madrigal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Anderson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Wolf | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Green | 33 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Thomas | 27 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| M. Cowling | 27 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| K. Anigwe | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| P. Davidson | 26 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Range | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Mosley | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Waters | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Yue | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter