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2015-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Maine Black Bears Spread Result
Elo 73.7% 26.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% - โœ“
Margin 82.0% 18.0% -8.3 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 66.8% 33.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.2% 12.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 87.4% 12.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.7% 33.3% - โœ“

Actual: Maine Black Bears -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Crescenzi * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 1 1 4 7 17 -
M. Wright * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 19 23 -
E. Boudreaux * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 0 3 18 28 -
C. Boehm * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 14 19 -
C. Smith * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 3 -
M. Gill 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 2 0 2 8 12 -
T. Carpenter 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 0 1 0 2 8 -
B. McDonnell 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 6 9 -
T. Johnson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 7 -
G. Smith 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Fleming 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Rennie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Ngwudo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Bernstein * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 8 1 0 1 13 27 -
Garet Beal * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 5 9 -
Devine Eke * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 10 19 -
Troy Reid-Knight * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
Ilija Stojiljkovic * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
Kevin Little 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 10 13 -
Shaun Lawton 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 9 12 -
Lavar Harewood 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 12 14 -
Aaron Calixte 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 0 3 -
Till Gloger 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
Walter King 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Garvey Melmed 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter