Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +24 (94-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Eaves * | 31 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | +10.1 |
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 27 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 11 | +7.2 |
| Griffin Kinney * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | -2.4 |
| Chris Burgess * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson * | 11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5.4 |
| Michael Obacha | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | +7.2 |
| Emarius Logan | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | -2.4 |
| Jacob Lawson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2.4 |
| Matt O'Boyle | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jake Babic | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mike Kobani | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +10.1 |
| Dustin Clarke | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | -5.0 |
| Brice Johnson * | 28 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Marcus Paige * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -8.8 |
| Joel James * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Theo Pinson | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Nate Britt | 17 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Luke Maye | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kenny Williams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stilman White | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kanler Coker | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Spenser Dalton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Coleman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Toby Egbuna | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter