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2015-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 3.2% 96.8% -
Bradley-Terry 3.5% 96.5% -
Margin 7.2% 92.8% +14.1 (18.9 off)

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +33 (98-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Sullivan * 38 3-10 2-8 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 10 3 -6.4
J. Gibbs * 35 7-20 3-11 2-2 4 4 1 0 5 19 3 -11.1
P. Aldridge * 26 3-9 0-3 0-0 5 1 2 2 1 6 6 -4.9
J. Barham * 23 5-10 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 2 11 5 -11.5
J. Belford * 16 0-1 0-1 4-4 1 0 0 1 0 4 5 -6.9
O. Michelsen 18 2-3 1-2 2-3 1 2 0 0 1 7 6 -
J. Watkins 15 2-7 2-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 1 -5.1
N. Ekwu 14 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 2 3 -11.8
A. McAuliffe 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
R. Reigel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Berry II * 26 4-10 3-6 0-0 1 4 2 0 1 11 7 +15.0
J. Jackson * 25 7-13 1-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 5 15 6 -
M. Paige * 24 5-12 2-5 1-1 2 4 0 0 1 13 6 +6.7
B. Johnson * 21 5-9 0-0 3-3 9 2 1 0 3 13 13 +15.3
K. Meeks * 18 3-3 0-0 3-4 10 1 0 1 2 9 16 +14.5
T. Pinson 17 2-5 0-1 2-3 2 4 1 0 0 6 8 -
N. Britt 16 6-8 2-3 3-3 1 1 0 0 0 17 11 -
I. Hicks 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
J. James 12 2-2 0-0 1-1 7 0 1 1 2 5 10 +7.4
L. Maye 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
K. Williams 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Coleman 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
T. Egbuna 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. White 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Coker 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Dalton 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter