Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams -6 (63-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Caupain * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Gary Clark * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Shaq Thomas * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Farad Cobb * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | -1.2 |
| Octavius Ellis * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Jacob Evans | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Johnson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Quadri Moore | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +1.6 |
| Coreontae DeBerry | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Justin Jenifer | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korey Billbury * | 37 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | +2.7 |
| Melvin Johnson * | 30 | 0-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | - |
| JeQuan Lewis * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Mo Alie-Cox * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Michael Gilmore * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Doug Brooks | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Ahmed Hamdy Mohamed | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Justin Tillman | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Williams | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter