Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +10 (65-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Tobler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Caupain * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| S. Thomas * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| G. Clark * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| O. Ellis * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 10 | -3.7 |
| F. Cobb * | 25 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -0.0 |
| J. Evans | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Johnson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -0.0 |
| C. DeBerry | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Jenifer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.5 |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bluiett * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +5.8 |
| E. Sumner * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Davis * | 32 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +7.9 |
| R. Abell * | 29 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +7.9 |
| J. Reynolds * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +2.1 |
| J. Farr | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 | +2.0 |
| J.P. Macura | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. O'Mara | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Austin Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.5 |
* = starter