Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | +6.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kellen Dunham * | 36 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +4.7 |
| Tyler Wideman * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | +0.6 |
| Roosevelt Jones * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +5.1 |
| Tyler Lewis * | 28 | 0-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | +0.4 |
| Andrew Chrabascz * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Kelan Martin | 24 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Gathers | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Austin Etherington | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jackson Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Caupain * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +3.2 |
| Octavius Ellis * | 27 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 25 | -2.9 |
| Gary Clark * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Farad Cobb * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | -2.9 |
| Shaq Thomas * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jacob Evans | 29 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Johnson | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Coreontae DeBerry | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +5.9 |
| Justin Jenifer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter