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2015-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 4.6% 95.4% -
Bradley-Terry 13.8% 86.2% -
Margin 0.7% 99.3% +27.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +38 (79-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Adams * 31 0-2 0-0 5-6 7 2 0 0 2 5 10 -
C. Leatherwood * 26 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 4 -1 -
J. Fisher-Davis * 19 1-10 0-8 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 2 -9 -
M. Johnson * 15 1-3 1-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Rininger * 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
C. Kearney 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 1 4 6 -
B. Alexander 15 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 1 3 6 0 -
S. Ellis 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 2 -3 -
M. Sanders 12 2-9 1-5 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 7 3 -
M. Reagan 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
S. Vega 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Patton 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
J. Woods 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Crowder 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Greenwell * 30 9-18 4-8 4-4 8 2 4 0 2 26 20 -
A. Stevens * 26 6-11 1-2 0-0 6 1 3 1 3 13 10 -
K. Lambert * 26 2-5 0-1 3-3 1 2 2 1 1 7 7 -
O. Chidom * 24 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
L. Belton * 21 2-4 0-0 1-1 6 0 3 1 1 5 10 -
A. Salvadores 21 5-10 1-3 1-2 0 8 1 0 3 12 8 -
H. Gorecki 15 1-4 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
C. Primm 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
K. Cooper 9 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
F. Suggs 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Riggs 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
E. Mathias 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter