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2015-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% -
Bradley-Terry 67.5% 32.5% -
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% -
Log Adjusted 67.5% 32.5% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Sorkin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Brooks * 40 8-19 5-10 5-6 3 2 0 2 3 26 11 -
C. Benson * 32 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 4 1 -
E. Cook * 32 7-13 3-4 5-6 7 0 1 0 4 22 13 -
C. Boucher * 30 3-7 0-1 0-1 9 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
D. Benjamin * 26 3-7 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 7 3 -20.5
K. Small 19 1-3 0-0 2-4 2 1 1 0 0 4 5 -18.6
J. Bell 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 7 4 2 2 2 3 14 +3.5
T. Manuel 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Heller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Jackson 20 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
N. Duncan * 35 2-10 1-6 4-4 5 2 0 2 1 9 7 +19.8
A. Drmic * 33 6-10 4-7 3-7 3 2 0 0 3 19 11 +20.1
M. Thompson * 28 4-8 1-3 2-2 0 4 2 0 2 11 7 +19.9
J. Webb III * 26 3-9 2-6 4-4 5 2 1 0 1 12 10 +21.8
C. Hutchison 27 2-7 0-1 4-6 7 0 0 0 0 8 8 -
Z. Haney 19 3-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 7 8 -2.3
P. Austin 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 3 -2.4
M. Alford 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter