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2015-11-16

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 72.7% 27.3% -
Bradley-Terry 55.1% 44.9% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% -
Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.7% 77.3% -
Log Adjusted 22.7% 77.3% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Freeman * 36 8-14 4-8 2-2 7 0 1 0 1 22 15 -8.9
I. Wainright * 32 1-6 0-1 0-0 9 3 1 0 5 2 4 -
L. Medford * 26 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 6 2 -6 -6.6
T. Prince * 25 3-14 2-7 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 10 -3 -6.5
R. Gathers * 24 4-8 0-0 1-5 4 0 1 0 3 9 3 +2.3
J. Motley 23 5-7 0-0 7-9 7 1 1 0 0 17 19 -8.9
J. Lindsey 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 2 4 +2.0
K. McClure 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Maston 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Dorsey * 37 3-9 2-5 4-6 6 5 1 0 4 12 11 -
E. Cook * 36 6-12 1-2 2-4 5 2 1 0 2 15 9 -
C. Boucher * 35 6-10 0-3 3-6 8 0 0 2 4 15 11 -
C. Benson * 32 2-5 1-3 4-4 1 3 0 0 0 9 8 -0.2
D. Brooks * 24 3-8 0-3 4-4 5 0 0 0 2 10 5 -
D. Benjamin 30 4-10 2-8 3-4 4 1 3 1 1 13 11 +11.8
K. Small 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -0.6
T. Manuel 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter