Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans +6 (95-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Davis * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 33 | - |
| Adonys Henriquez * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Shaheed Davis * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Chance McSpadden * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Daiquan Walker | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Matt Williams | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Justin McBride | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Jenkins * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 38 | - |
| Anton Wilson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Josh McFolley * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jaleel Hogan * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Paris Bass * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Aaron Foster-Smith | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Gerald Blackshear | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Carlton Brundidge | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jarod Williams | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Matthew Grant | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter