Model Predictions
| Model | Brown Bears | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +15.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Spieth * | 36 | 4-13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +7.5 |
| T. Blackmon * | 31 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +2.4 |
| C. Kuakumensah * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | -5.5 |
| J. Massey * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +1.1 |
| J. Massey * | 20 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +1.1 |
| C. Daugherty | 22 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Hobbie | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.2 |
| T. Fuller | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +7.4 |
| A. Martin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
| C. Sullivan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Barefield | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.7 |
| K. Frazier * | 37 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | -0.5 |
| J. Tolbert * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -5.9 |
| S. Milton * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| M. Kennedy * | 31 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | -6.0 |
| S. Brown * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Foster | 25 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| J. Wilfong | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.5 |
* = starter