Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 85.1% | 14.9% | -9.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jackson * | 36 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| B. Johnson * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -6.3 |
| J. Berry II * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -1.8 |
| T. Pinson * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -2.1 |
| N. Britt | 29 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -8.6 |
| I. Hicks | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -6.6 |
| L. Maye | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. James | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Washpun * | 36 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | +3.7 |
| M. Bohannon * | 35 | 6-12 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | +8.2 |
| P. Jesperson * | 32 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +8.2 |
| J. Morgan * | 28 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| B. Koch * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Friedman | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +10.9 |
| W. Lohaus | 19 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +12.1 |
| A. Austin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter