Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -7 (60-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Graham * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Z. Kocur * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| T. Lyons * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| K. Broekhuis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Z. Moer * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Tuss | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| C. Siples | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. James | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Van | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Toohey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Graham * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 26 | - |
| B. Lemar * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. White * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| N. Monson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 | - |
| J. Fox * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Schneider | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| N. Berry | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| G. Goode | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Printup | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter