Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +14 (87-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Van * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| C.J. Siples * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Hayden Graham * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Zach Kocur * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Frank Toohey * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Broekhuis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Zach Moer | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Danny Hummer | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dezmond James | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dane Norman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Joe Tuss | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwan Scott * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Joe De Ciman * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20 | - |
| John Gillon * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 31 | - |
| T. Daniels * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Fred Richardson * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jeremiah Paige | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Emmanuel Omogbo | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Prentiss Nixon | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
* = starter