Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +18 (77-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Moore * | 36 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Chris Smith * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Grayson Moore * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Darius Perkins * | 24 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Lew Evans * | 15 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Shane Rector | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Elston Jones | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Julion Pearre | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Quinn Taylor | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Williams * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Elijah Brown * | 33 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Cullen Neal * | 31 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Obij Aget * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Sam Logwood * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dane Kuiper | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Joe Furstinger | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Adams | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Mathis | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hunter | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Tim Jacobs | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michael Nesbitt | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter