Model Predictions
| Model | Incarnate Word Cardinals | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +38 (84-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Incarnate Word Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Johnson * | 36 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Hittle * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Sam Burmeister * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Mitchell Badillo * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jontrell Walker | 22 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Simi Socks | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Phillip Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tavin Askew | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jerred Kite | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jerred Kite | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetrious Floyd * | 29 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Thomas Walkup * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Trey Pinkney * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Holyfield * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Ty Charles * | 15 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Clide Geffrard | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Dallas Cameron | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Nathan Bain | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jared Johnson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jovan Grujic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Lasani Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| JaQuan Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter