Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✗ (33.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -33 (57-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Telfair * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| B. Wilson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| G. Luzcando * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 37 | - |
| K. Ingram * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 23 | - |
| G. Chivichyan * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| E. Nakken | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| E. Hall | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| N. Topalovic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| C. Nwosuh | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Lennox | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Johnson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 22 | - |
| Jordan Wilson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tanner Morgan * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jeremy Verhagen * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dallas Anglin | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ibrahim Sylla | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Tyler Loose | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jon'te Dotson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Spencer Mathis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Miles Seward | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter