Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +1 (69-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Eaves * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Chris Burgess * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Griffin Kinney * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Matt O'Boyle | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Emarius Logan | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jake Babic | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bennett Holley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Michael Obacha | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Dustin Clarke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Montalvo * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Kavin Gilder-Tilbury * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Emani Gant * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 40 | - |
| Ojai Black * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Cameron Naylor * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Roberson | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| K.J. Malveau | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Bobby Conley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kendell Ramlal | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter