Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +20 (76-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kavin Gilder-Tilbury * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Bobby Conley * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Ojai Black * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Roberson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Emani Gant * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Cameron Naylor | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Kendell Ramlal | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D'Angelo West | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nathan Josephs | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K.J. Malveau | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Courtney Julien | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maljhum McCrea | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Austin Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Eaves * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 38 | - |
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Griffin Kinney * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Burgess * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Michael Obacha | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Emarius Logan | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jake Babic | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Matt O'Boyle | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Bennett Holley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dustin Clarke | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mike Kobani | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dylan Hodson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Kerley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jalen Sanders | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trey Ford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter