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App State Mountaineers 86
@
Arkansas State Red Wolves 72
2016-01-16

Model Predictions

Model App State Mountaineers Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 53.8% 46.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - ✗
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 ✗ (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - ✗

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -14 (72-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

App State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frank Eaves * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 6 31 32 -
Ronshad Shabazz * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 0 13 25 -
Tyrell Johnson * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 3 4 10 -
Griffin Kinney * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 4 10 -
Chris Burgess * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 8 11 -
Michael Obacha 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 1 5 15 -
Emarius Logan 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 12 13 -
Matt O'Boyle 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 3 8 -
Jake Babic 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 0 5 -

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Livingston * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 0 2 3 1 29 48 -
Devin Carter * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 2 0 2 20 32 -
Sean Gardner * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 9 10 -
Donte Thomas * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 2 0 2 12 22 -
Charles Waters * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Josh Pierre 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Frederic Dure 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 2 6 -
Nouhoum Bocoum 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter